Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs El Calor de Cancun basketball prediction

LNBP
Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
vs
El Calor de Cancun
Correct score
92-80
Home76%
Away24%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs El Calor de Cancun?

Basketball: Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs El Calor de Cancun (LNBP). We make it 92-80. Fuerza Regia de Monterrey is favoured at 76%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Fuerza Regia de Monterrey by 12Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginFuerza Regia de MonterreyEl Calor de Cancun
Wins76%24%
By 6+63%14%
By 11+49%7%
By 16+35%3%
By 21+22%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Fuerza Regia de Monterrey

Season record
15-7
Points per game
90.6
Points allowed
85.4
Rest
4 d
  1. W93-52Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  2. W94-83Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  3. W87-84Mineros
  4. L100-101Mineros
  5. W103-74Santos

El Calor de Cancun

Season record
6-16
Points per game
82
Points allowed
86.9
Rest
4 d
  1. L83-86Diablos Rojos
  2. W86-74Diablos Rojos
  3. L86-97Dorados
  4. L89-91Dorados
  5. L82-86Panteras

Head to head

  1. Jul 13, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey75El Calor de Cancun82
  2. Jul 12, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey95El Calor de Cancun74
  3. Nov 3, 24Fuerza Regia de Monterrey74El Calor de Cancun69
  4. Nov 1, 24El Calor de Cancun56Fuerza Regia de Monterrey70
  5. Oct 31, 24El Calor de Cancun59Fuerza Regia de Monterrey56

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology