Dinamo Zagreb vs Zabok basketball prediction

Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Zabok
Correct score
87-81
Home64%
Away36%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Zabok?

Basketball: Dinamo Zagreb vs Zabok (Premijer liga). We make it 87-81. Dinamo Zagreb is favoured at 64%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Dinamo Zagreb by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDinamo ZagrebZabok
Wins64%36%
By 6+49%23%
By 11+35%13%
By 16+23%7%
By 21+13%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Dinamo Zagreb

Rest
129 d
  1. W101-82Kastela
  2. W97-61Kastela
  3. L91-110Samobor KK
  4. L82-97KK Dubrovnik
  5. L89-96Split KK

Zabok

Rest
131 d
  1. L93-99Split KK
  2. L80-86Split KK
  3. W75-63Dubrava Zagreb
  4. L75-94Kvarner
  5. L65-76KK Cedevita Junior

Head to head

  1. Mar 13, 26Dinamo Zagreb87Zabok80
  2. Jan 17, 26Zabok97Dinamo Zagreb83
  3. Oct 31, 25Dinamo Zagreb87Zabok88
  4. May 8, 25Dinamo Zagreb98Zabok89
  5. Dec 14, 24Zabok82Dinamo Zagreb99

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology