Diablos Rojos vs Astros basketball prediction

LNBP
Diablos Rojos
vs
Astros
Correct score
81-87
Home34%
Away66%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Diablos Rojos vs Astros?

Basketball: Diablos Rojos vs Astros (LNBP). We make it 81-87. Astros is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Astros by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDiablos RojosAstros
Wins34%66%
By 6+21%52%
By 11+12%37%
By 16+6%25%
By 21+3%14%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Diablos Rojos

Season record
10-12
Points per game
83.9
Points allowed
83.8
Rest
4 d
  1. W86-83El Calor de Cancun
  2. L74-86El Calor de Cancun
  3. W96-91Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  4. W107-79Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  5. L85-98Mineros

Astros

Season record
15-7
Points per game
87.7
Points allowed
80.8
Rest
5 d
  1. L77-79Dorados
  2. W87-80Dorados
  3. W98-83Panteras
  4. L83-95Panteras
  5. W81-74Soles

Head to head

  1. Nov 1, 25Astros63Diablos Rojos83
  2. Oct 31, 25Astros66Diablos Rojos77
  3. Oct 28, 25Diablos Rojos68Astros69
  4. Oct 27, 25Diablos Rojos80Astros99
  5. Oct 25, 25Diablos Rojos84Astros82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology