CO Basket vs Gaziantep basketball prediction

TBL
CO Basket
vs
Gaziantep
Correct score
80-82
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for CO Basket vs Gaziantep?

Basketball: CO Basket vs Gaziantep (TBL). We make it 80-82. Gaziantep is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Gaziantep by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCO BasketGaziantep
Wins43%57%
By 6+28%42%
By 11+17%27%
By 16+9%16%
By 21+4%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

CO Basket

Season record
0-2
Points per game
68
Points allowed
86.5
Rest
6 d
  1. L77-98Sigortam.net ITU
  2. L59-75Konya BBSK
  3. L88-97Ankara Kolejliler
  4. W84-80Darussafaka
  5. W89-88Final Spor

Gaziantep

Season record
1-1
Points per game
79.5
Points allowed
85.5
Rest
6 d
  1. W91-89Final Spor
  2. L68-82Kecioren Baglum
  3. L65-79Bordo Sportif
  4. L67-75Bordo Sportif
  5. L62-83Bordo Sportif

Head to head

  1. Feb 14, 26Gaziantep70CO Basket57
  2. Oct 27, 25CO Basket76Gaziantep81
  3. Feb 15, 25CO Basket78Gaziantep90
  4. Oct 26, 24Gaziantep74CO Basket79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology