Cholet U21 vs Lyon-Villeurbanne U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Cholet U21
vs
Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
Correct score
89-78
Home81%
Away19%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Cholet U21 vs Lyon-Villeurbanne U21?

Basketball: Cholet U21 vs Lyon-Villeurbanne U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 89-78. Cholet U21 is favoured at 81%. Our predicted total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Cholet U21 by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCholet U21Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
Wins81%19%
By 6+69%11%
By 11+54%6%
By 16+40%3%
By 21+26%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Cholet U21

Rest
118 d
  1. L66-81Strasbourg U21
  2. W89-79Nanterre U21
  3. L68-79Nanterre U21
  4. W81-65Nancy U21
  5. L65-83Monaco U21

Lyon-Villeurbanne U21

Rest
133 d
  1. L80-91Paris U21
  2. L81-84Strasbourg U21
  3. W99-78Gravelines-Dunkerque U21
  4. L78-90JL Bourg U21
  5. L68-95Monaco U21

Head to head

  1. Mar 28, 26Cholet U2188Lyon-Villeurbanne U2174
  2. Dec 14, 25Lyon-Villeurbanne U2178Cholet U2194
  3. May 3, 25Cholet U2186Lyon-Villeurbanne U2167
  4. Nov 2, 24Lyon-Villeurbanne U2182Cholet U2188
  5. Jan 13, 24Lyon-Villeurbanne U2189Cholet U2186

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology