Budapesti Honved Se vs KTE-Duna Aszfalt basketball prediction

NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
vs
KTE-Duna Aszfalt
Correct score
86-76
Home76%
Away24%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Budapesti Honved Se vs KTE-Duna Aszfalt?

Basketball: Budapesti Honved Se vs KTE-Duna Aszfalt (NB I A). We make it 86-76. Budapesti Honved Se is favoured at 76%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Budapesti Honved Se by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBudapesti Honved SeKTE-Duna Aszfalt
Wins76%24%
By 6+64%14%
By 11+50%7%
By 16+36%3%
By 21+24%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Budapesti Honved Se

Rest
134 d
  1. W98-90Alba Fehérvár
  2. W79-73Alba Fehérvár
  3. L79-101Alba Fehérvár
  4. W92-70DEAC
  5. W70-67DEAC

KTE-Duna Aszfalt

Rest
126 d
  1. L86-96OSE Lions
  2. W96-93NKA Pécs
  3. W81-77Kormend Egis
  4. W68-63Szedeak
  5. W94-78Zalakeramia

Head to head

  1. Mar 27, 26KTE-Duna Aszfalt94Budapesti Honved Se77
  2. Dec 7, 25Budapesti Honved Se85KTE-Duna Aszfalt63
  3. May 14, 25KTE-Duna Aszfalt83Budapesti Honved Se79
  4. Apr 23, 25Budapesti Honved Se72KTE-Duna Aszfalt71
  5. Feb 7, 25KTE-Duna Aszfalt76Budapesti Honved Se78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology