Brno Basket vs Slavia Prague Era Nbk basketball prediction

NBL
Brno Basket
vs
Slavia Prague Era Nbk
Correct score
85-84
Home49%
Away51%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Brno Basket vs Slavia Prague Era Nbk?

Basketball: Brno Basket vs Slavia Prague Era Nbk (NBL). We make it 85-84. Brno Basket is favoured at 49%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Brno Basket by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBrno BasketSlavia Prague Era Nbk
Wins49%51%
By 6+36%37%
By 11+24%24%
By 16+15%15%
By 21+8%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Brno Basket

Season record
0-2
Points per game
77.5
Points allowed
85
Rest
3 d
  1. L76-85NH Ostrava
  2. L79-85Pardubice
  3. L101-102Opava
  4. L65-96Opava
  5. W99-97Opava

Slavia Prague Era Nbk

Season record
2-0
Points per game
101
Points allowed
80.5
Rest
3 d
  1. W114-81Opava
  2. W88-80USK Praha

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology