Boulazac U21 vs Roanne U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Boulazac U21
vs
Roanne U21
Correct score
79-80
Home46%
Away54%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Boulazac U21 vs Roanne U21?

Basketball: Boulazac U21 vs Roanne U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 79-80. Roanne U21 is favoured at 54%. Our predicted total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Roanne U21 by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBoulazac U21Roanne U21
Wins46%54%
By 6+32%39%
By 11+21%26%
By 16+12%15%
By 21+6%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Boulazac U21

Rest
132 d
  1. L59-109Monaco U21
  2. W75-63Limoges CSP U21
  3. L73-95Cholet U21
  4. L72-87Dijon U21
  5. L74-92Chalon/Saone U21

Roanne U21

Rest
483 d
  1. L68-88Monaco U21
  2. W91-86Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
  3. W100-79Paris U21
  4. W71-70Nancy U21
  5. L87-96Monaco U21

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology