BG Göttingen vs RheinStars Köln basketball prediction

Pro A
Correct score
86-80
Home65%
Away35%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for BG Göttingen vs RheinStars Köln?

Basketball: BG Göttingen vs RheinStars Köln (Pro A). We make it 86-80. BG Göttingen is favoured at 65%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it BG Göttingen by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBG GöttingenRheinStars Köln
Wins65%35%
By 6+51%23%
By 11+38%13%
By 16+25%7%
By 21+15%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

BG Göttingen

Rest
13 d
  1. L83-113SYNTAINICS MBC
  2. L85-90Kirchheim Knights
  3. L82-89Kirchheim Knights
  4. L67-81Kirchheim Knights
  5. W99-87Kirchheim Knights

RheinStars Köln

Rest
146 d
  1. L71-74Kirchheim Knights
  2. L71-83Nurnberger
  3. W87-77Giessen 46ers
  4. L67-69PS Karlsruhe Lions
  5. W85-76Leverkusen Giants

Head to head

  1. Mar 29, 26RheinStars Köln88BG Göttingen80
  2. Dec 13, 25BG Göttingen95RheinStars Köln83

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology