Barcelona Bàsquet vs Leyma Coruña basketball prediction

ACB
Barcelona Bàsquet
vs
Leyma Coruña
Correct score
97-86
Home76%
Away24%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Barcelona Bàsquet vs Leyma Coruña?

Basketball: Barcelona Bàsquet vs Leyma Coruña (ACB). We make it 97-86. Barcelona Bàsquet is favoured at 76%. Our predicted total is 183 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Barcelona Bàsquet by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBarcelona BàsquetLeyma Coruña
Wins76%24%
By 6+63%13%
By 11+48%6%
By 16+33%3%
By 21+21%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Barcelona Bàsquet

Rest
6 d
  1. L87-101Joventut Badalona
  2. W87-86Valencia
  3. L84-108Valencia
  4. L80-88Valencia
  5. L75-102Valencia

Leyma Coruña

Rest
111 d
  1. W100-97Estudiantes
  2. W92-81Palencia Baloncesto
  3. W87-76Hestia Menorca
  4. L82-85Hestia Menorca
  5. W81-76Hestia Menorca

Head to head

  1. May 8, 25Leyma Coruña93Barcelona Bàsquet92
  2. Nov 3, 24Barcelona Bàsquet106Leyma Coruña80

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology