Bamberg vs MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg basketball prediction

BBL
Bamberg
vs
MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg
Correct score
88-80
Home76%
Away24%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Bamberg vs MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg?

Basketball: Bamberg vs MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg (BBL). We make it 88-80. Bamberg is favoured at 76%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Bamberg by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBambergMHP Riesen Ludwigsburg
Wins76%24%
By 6+62%15%
By 11+47%8%
By 16+32%4%
By 21+20%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Bamberg

Season record
0-1
Points per game
72
Points allowed
108
Rest
6 d
  1. L72-108Bayern Munich
  2. L66-97ALBA Berlin
  3. W81-67ALBA Berlin
  4. W81-73ALBA Berlin
  5. L71-85ALBA Berlin

MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg

Season record
0-1
Points per game
77
Points allowed
86
Rest
6 d
  1. L77-86Ulm
  2. W98-73Kirchheim Knights
  3. L71-91Rostock Seawolves
  4. L58-75Wurzburg
  5. L78-86Bayern Munich

Head to head

  1. Feb 7, 26MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg74Bamberg86
  2. Jan 9, 26Bamberg79MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg100
  3. May 3, 25Bamberg73MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg75
  4. Jan 12, 25MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg92Bamberg73
  5. Mar 9, 24MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg87Bamberg92

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology