Büyükçekmece Basketbol vs Ankara D.S.I. basketball prediction

TBL
Büyükçekmece Basketbol
vs
Ankara D.S.I.
Correct score
86-75
Home84%
Away16%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Büyükçekmece Basketbol vs Ankara D.S.I.?

Basketball: Büyükçekmece Basketbol vs Ankara D.S.I. (TBL). We make it 86-75. Büyükçekmece Basketbol is favoured at 84%. Our predicted total is 161 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Büyükçekmece Basketbol by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBüyükçekmece BasketbolAnkara D.S.I.
Wins84%16%
By 6+72%8%
By 11+56%4%
By 16+41%2%
By 21+26%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Büyükçekmece Basketbol

Season record
1-0
Points per game
83
Points allowed
75
Rest
13 d
  1. W83-75OGM Ormanspor
  2. L79-113Anadolu Efes Istanbul
  3. L87-98Merkezefendi
  4. L72-91Bursaspor
  5. L67-79Esenler Erokspor

Ankara D.S.I.

Season record
0-2
Points per game
66
Points allowed
106.5
Rest
7 d
  1. L70-100Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi
  2. L62-113Harem Spor
  3. L65-81Çayırova Belediyesi
  4. W77-70Final Spor
  5. L81-94Goztepe

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology