Zenit Petersburg vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg basketball prediction

VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
vs
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
Correct scoreOur pick
82-77

Total Points: Under 1651.67

Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.27price rising, opened at 1.20
Away3.76price falling, opened at 3.88
Total points 162.5
Over1.90price rising, opened at 1.83
Under1.90price rising, opened at 1.83
Spread -8.5
Home1.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Away1.90price rising, opened at 1.78

Market move since Sep 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Zenit Petersburg vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg?

Basketball: Zenit Petersburg vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg (VTB United League). We make it 82-77. Zenit Petersburg is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Zenit Petersburg by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginZenit PetersburgUralmash Ekaterinburg
Wins73%27%
By 6+57%18%
By 11+41%10%
By 16+27%5%
By 21+16%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Zenit Petersburg

Rest
5 d
  1. L79-83Igokea
  2. L76-100Anadolu Efes Istanbul
  3. L73-78Unics Kazan
  4. L76-84Lokomotiv Kuban
  5. L85-91Lokomotiv Kuban

Uralmash Ekaterinburg

Rest
144 d
  1. L61-78Zenit Petersburg
  2. L65-82Zenit Petersburg
  3. L64-92Zenit Petersburg
  4. W85-78Zenit Petersburg
  5. W86-54Saratov

Head to head

  1. May 4, 26Uralmash Ekaterinburg61Zenit Petersburg78
  2. May 2, 26Uralmash Ekaterinburg65Zenit Petersburg82
  3. Apr 28, 26Zenit Petersburg92Uralmash Ekaterinburg64
  4. Apr 26, 26Zenit Petersburg78Uralmash Ekaterinburg85
  5. Apr 7, 26Zenit Petersburg69Uralmash Ekaterinburg82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology