Zadar KK vs KK Bosna basketball prediction

ABA League
Zadar KK
vs
KK Bosna
Correct scoreOur pick
84-79

Total Points: Over 153.51.85

Home74%
Away26%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48
Away2.39
Total points 155.25
Over1.80
Under1.81
Spread -4.5
Home1.88
Away1.78

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Zadar KK vs KK Bosna?

Basketball: Zadar KK vs KK Bosna (ABA League). We make it 84-79. Zadar KK is favoured at 74%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Zadar KK by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginZadar KKKK Bosna
Wins74%26%
By 6+55%15%
By 11+37%8%
By 16+22%4%
By 21+11%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Zadar KK

Rest
106 d
  1. L75-82Cibona Zagreb
  2. L67-73Cibona Zagreb
  3. W87-70Cibona Zagreb
  4. W92-57Cibona Zagreb
  5. L72-74Cibona Zagreb

KK Bosna

Rest
119 d
  1. W76-70Igokea
  2. W88-45Sloboda
  3. W73-66Sloboda
  4. L73-87Partizan Mozzart Bet
  5. L73-81Partizan Mozzart Bet

Head to head

  1. Jan 2, 26KK Bosna93Zadar KK85
  2. Nov 7, 25Zadar KK77KK Bosna78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology