Wurzburg vs Oldenburg basketball prediction

BBL
Wurzburg
vs
Oldenburg
Correct score
88-81
Home77%
Away23%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Wurzburg vs Oldenburg?

Basketball: Wurzburg vs Oldenburg (BBL). We make it 88-81. Wurzburg is favoured at 77%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Wurzburg by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginWurzburgOldenburg
Wins77%23%
By 6+61%15%
By 11+45%8%
By 16+31%4%
By 21+19%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Wurzburg

Rest
10 d
  1. L73-74Manchester Giants
  2. L63-66Bonn Telekom Baskets
  3. W82-70Bonn Telekom Baskets
  4. L76-80Bonn Telekom Baskets
  5. L81-88Bonn Telekom Baskets

Oldenburg

Season record
1-0
Points per game
96
Points allowed
81
Rest
5 d
  1. W96-81SYNTAINICS MBC
  2. W82-63USC Heidelberg
  3. L67-77Bayern Munich
  4. W93-84Basketball Braunschweig
  5. W98-95Trier

Head to head

  1. Mar 22, 26Oldenburg79Wurzburg85
  2. Dec 5, 25Wurzburg82Oldenburg71
  3. Oct 18, 25Oldenburg61Wurzburg60
  4. Feb 1, 25Wurzburg102Oldenburg112
  5. Jan 11, 25Oldenburg96Wurzburg85

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology