Valmiera Glass VIA vs Ventspils basketball prediction

Latvia-Estonian League
Correct scoreOur pick
88-84

Spread: Away +9.51.90

Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.18
Away3.78
Total points 170.5
Over1.75
Under1.84
Spread -9.5
Home1.74
Away1.84

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Valmiera Glass VIA vs Ventspils?

Basketball: Valmiera Glass VIA vs Ventspils (Latvia-Estonian League). We make it 88-84. Valmiera Glass VIA is favoured at 62%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Valmiera Glass VIA by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginValmiera Glass VIAVentspils
Wins62%38%
By 6+47%26%
By 11+33%16%
By 16+22%9%
By 21+13%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Valmiera Glass VIA

Season record
1-0
Points per game
82
Points allowed
73
Rest
3 d
  1. W82-73Rigas Juniori
  2. W92-89Ventspils
  3. W107-92Ventspils
  4. W101-79Ventspils
  5. L112-115Ventspils

Ventspils

Rest
133 d
  1. L89-92Valmiera Glass VIA
  2. L92-107Valmiera Glass VIA
  3. L79-101Valmiera Glass VIA
  4. W115-112Valmiera Glass VIA
  5. W75-67VEF Riga

Head to head

  1. May 15, 26Ventspils89Valmiera Glass VIA92
  2. May 13, 26Valmiera Glass VIA107Ventspils92
  3. May 10, 26Ventspils79Valmiera Glass VIA101
  4. May 7, 26Valmiera Glass VIA112Ventspils115
  5. Mar 10, 26Ventspils85Valmiera Glass VIA99

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology