SYNTAINICS MBC vs Jena basketball prediction

BBL
SYNTAINICS MBC
vs
Jena
Correct score
90-83
Home78%
Away22%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for SYNTAINICS MBC vs Jena?

Basketball: SYNTAINICS MBC vs Jena (BBL). We make it 90-83. SYNTAINICS MBC is favoured at 78%. Our predicted total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it SYNTAINICS MBC by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSYNTAINICS MBCJena
Wins78%22%
By 6+63%14%
By 11+47%8%
By 16+32%4%
By 21+20%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

SYNTAINICS MBC

Season record
0-1
Points per game
81
Points allowed
96
Rest
5 d
  1. L81-96Oldenburg
  2. W113-83BG Göttingen
  3. L78-85Trier
  4. L82-99Bamberg
  5. L75-80USC Heidelberg

Jena

Rest
12 d
  1. L63-94Fraport Skyliners
  2. L65-83ALBA Berlin
  3. W81-79USC Heidelberg
  4. L79-89Rostock Seawolves
  5. W102-94Trier

Head to head

  1. Mar 21, 26Jena84SYNTAINICS MBC108
  2. Jan 3, 26SYNTAINICS MBC86Jena95

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology