Poitiers vs Evreux basketball prediction

Pro B
Poitiers
vs
Evreux
Correct scoreOur pick
86-80

Total Points: Under 1711.67

Home69%
Away31%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.21
Away3.95
Total points 169
Over1.83
Under1.82
Spread -9.5
Home1.84
Away1.83

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Poitiers vs Evreux?

Basketball: Poitiers vs Evreux (Pro B). We make it 86-80. Poitiers is favoured at 69%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Poitiers by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPoitiersEvreux
Wins69%31%
By 6+53%18%
By 11+36%10%
By 16+22%4%
By 21+12%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Poitiers

Rest
10 d
  1. W80-79Bordeaux JSA
  2. L73-86Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  3. L72-81Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  4. W106-82Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  5. W85-75Nantes

Evreux

Rest
10 d
  1. L79-82Caen
  2. L68-97Ada Blois
  3. L83-102Quimper
  4. L80-81La Rochelle
  5. L85-89Nantes

Head to head

  1. Apr 17, 26Poitiers92Evreux85
  2. Jan 9, 26Evreux85Poitiers80
  3. Apr 4, 25Evreux69Poitiers75
  4. Sep 20, 24Poitiers86Evreux74
  5. May 10, 24Evreux76Poitiers64

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology