Palmer Basket vs Bàsquet Mallorca Palma basketball prediction

LEB Oro
Palmer Basket
vs
Bàsquet Mallorca Palma
Correct score
80-78
Home57%
Away43%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Palmer Basket vs Bàsquet Mallorca Palma?

Basketball: Palmer Basket vs Bàsquet Mallorca Palma (LEB Oro). We make it 80-78. Palmer Basket is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Palmer Basket by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPalmer BasketBàsquet Mallorca Palma
Wins57%43%
By 6+41%29%
By 11+26%17%
By 16+15%9%
By 21+7%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Palmer Basket

Rest
139 d
  1. L59-85Bàsquet Mallorca Palma
  2. L70-73Estudiantes
  3. W77-68Alicante
  4. L74-89Oviedo Baloncesto
  5. L65-82Gipuzkoa

Bàsquet Mallorca Palma

Rest
139 d
  1. W85-59Palmer Basket
  2. L76-94Leyma Coruña
  3. L70-92Palencia Baloncesto
  4. L63-73Gipuzkoa
  5. L77-80Cartagena CB

Head to head

  1. May 8, 26Palmer Basket59Bàsquet Mallorca Palma85
  2. Dec 28, 25Bàsquet Mallorca Palma82Palmer Basket80

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology