Hamburg Towers vs Chemnitz 99 Niners basketball prediction

BBL
Hamburg Towers
vs
Chemnitz 99 Niners
Correct score
88-84
Home68%
Away32%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Hamburg Towers vs Chemnitz 99 Niners?

Basketball: Hamburg Towers vs Chemnitz 99 Niners (BBL). We make it 88-84. Hamburg Towers is favoured at 68%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Hamburg Towers by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginHamburg TowersChemnitz 99 Niners
Wins68%32%
By 6+52%21%
By 11+37%12%
By 16+24%7%
By 21+14%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Hamburg Towers

Season record
0-1
Points per game
72
Points allowed
96
Rest
6 d
  1. L72-96Bonn Telekom Baskets
  2. W90-81Rostock Seawolves
  3. L71-103Rostock Seawolves
  4. L73-90Wurzburg
  5. L71-85Bamberg

Chemnitz 99 Niners

Season record
0-1
Points per game
82
Points allowed
89
Rest
7 d
  1. L82-89ALBA Berlin
  2. W77-70Giessen 46ers
  3. L90-104Basketball Braunschweig
  4. W86-82Fraport Skyliners
  5. W84-82ALBA Berlin

Head to head

  1. Jan 31, 26Hamburg Towers86Chemnitz 99 Niners69
  2. Oct 3, 25Chemnitz 99 Niners102Hamburg Towers78
  3. May 7, 25Hamburg Towers88Chemnitz 99 Niners93
  4. Jan 17, 25Chemnitz 99 Niners69Hamburg Towers60
  5. May 4, 24Hamburg Towers79Chemnitz 99 Niners85

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology