Fos Provence Basket vs Hyeres-Toulon basketball prediction

Pro B
Fos Provence Basket
vs
Hyeres-Toulon
Correct score
83-81
Home54%
Away46%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Fos Provence Basket vs Hyeres-Toulon?

Basketball: Fos Provence Basket vs Hyeres-Toulon (Pro B). We make it 83-81. Fos Provence Basket is favoured at 54%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Fos Provence Basket by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginFos Provence BasketHyeres-Toulon
Wins54%46%
By 6+38%30%
By 11+24%18%
By 16+13%9%
By 21+6%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Fos Provence Basket

Rest
7 d
  1. W85-62Aix Maurienne
  2. L69-71Hyeres-Toulon
  3. W85-82Roanne
  4. W84-83St. Chamond
  5. L77-78Poitiers

Hyeres-Toulon

Rest
10 d
  1. W98-72Pays Salonais
  2. L75-81Poitiers
  3. W96-78Denain-Voltaire
  4. W92-89ASA
  5. L69-84Chalons-Reims

Head to head

  1. Sep 13, 25Fos Provence Basket69Hyeres-Toulon71
  2. Feb 7, 25Fos Provence Basket69Hyeres-Toulon70
  3. Dec 20, 24Hyeres-Toulon84Fos Provence Basket80
  4. Sep 19, 23Fos Provence Basket76Hyeres-Toulon51

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology