Dijon vs Strasbourg basketball prediction

LNB
Dijon
vs
Strasbourg
Correct score
90-86
Home60%
Away40%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Dijon vs Strasbourg?

Basketball: Dijon vs Strasbourg (LNB). We make it 90-86. Dijon is favoured at 60%. Our predicted total is 176 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Dijon by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDijonStrasbourg
Wins60%40%
By 6+46%27%
By 11+32%16%
By 16+21%9%
By 21+12%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Dijon

Rest
132 d
  1. W126-80Le Portel
  2. W101-83JL Bourg
  3. L69-87Nanterre 92
  4. W103-85Boulazac
  5. L74-111Cholet

Strasbourg

Rest
118 d
  1. L75-89Paris Basketball
  2. W87-82Paris Basketball
  3. L64-95Paris Basketball
  4. W102-81Chalon/Saone
  5. L71-91JL Bourg

Head to head

  1. Mar 7, 26Strasbourg96Dijon98
  2. Oct 25, 25Dijon95Strasbourg89
  3. Apr 12, 25Strasbourg58Dijon77
  4. Dec 20, 24Dijon91Strasbourg94
  5. Apr 27, 24Dijon83Strasbourg70

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology