Caen vs Aix Maurienne basketball prediction

Pro B
Correct scoreOur pick
84-83

Total Points: Over 161.51.70

Home48%
Away52%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.75
Away1.98
Total points 163.5
Over1.83
Under1.83
Spread -1.5
Home1.83
Away1.83

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Caen vs Aix Maurienne?

Basketball: Caen vs Aix Maurienne (Pro B). We make it 84-83. Caen is favoured at 48%. Our predicted total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Caen by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCaenAix Maurienne
Wins48%52%
By 6+33%35%
By 11+20%21%
By 16+11%11%
By 21+5%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Caen

Rest
10 d
  1. W82-79Evreux
  2. W93-86Antibes
  3. L75-99Chalons-Reims
  4. L71-75Roanne
  5. L70-79ASA

Aix Maurienne

Rest
6 d
  1. L62-85Fos Provence Basket
  2. L77-83Chalons-Reims
  3. L79-81Poitiers
  4. W98-87Challans
  5. L75-80Denain-Voltaire

Head to head

  1. Apr 10, 26Aix Maurienne61Caen76
  2. Nov 13, 25Caen106Aix Maurienne96
  3. Mar 21, 25Aix Maurienne106Caen92
  4. Oct 4, 24Caen77Aix Maurienne72

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology