Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Washington Mystics Women
vs
Chicago Sky Women
Correct scoreOur pick
89-82

Total Points: Over 1661.80

Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.08
Away7.60
Total points 167.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -11.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women?

Basketball: Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women (NBA Women). We make it 89-82. Washington Mystics Women is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Washington Mystics Women by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginWashington Mystics WomenChicago Sky Women
Wins73%27%
By 6+57%17%
By 11+41%9%
By 16+27%5%
By 21+16%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Washington Mystics Women

Season record
29-16
Points per game
83.3
Points allowed
82
Rest
2 d
  1. W79-69Connecticut Sun Women
  2. W93-77Indiana Fever Women
  3. W110-80Chicago Sky Women
  4. W88-82Los Angeles Sparks Women
  5. W80-73Phoenix Mercury Women

Chicago Sky Women

Season record
16-29
Points per game
87.2
Points allowed
90.4
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. W97-85Toronto Tempo Women
  2. L81-106Atlanta Dream Women
  3. L80-110Washington Mystics Women
  4. L66-85New York Liberty Women
  5. L81-87Connecticut Sun Women

Head to head

  1. Sep 18, 26Chicago Sky Women80Washington Mystics Women110
  2. Jun 2, 26Washington Mystics Women90Chicago Sky Women72
  3. Aug 6, 25Chicago Sky Women78Washington Mystics Women64
  4. Jul 29, 25Washington Mystics Women103Chicago Sky Women86
  5. Jul 8, 25Washington Mystics Women81Chicago Sky Women79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology