Seattle Storm Women vs Dallas Wings Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Seattle Storm Women
vs
Dallas Wings Women
Correct scoreOur pick
84-89

Total Points: Over 165.51.54

Home27%
Away73%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home4.16price falling, opened at 5.85
Away1.23price rising, opened at 1.14
Total points 173 line moved from 170.5
Over1.89
Under1.89
Spread +9.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Market move since Sep 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Seattle Storm Women vs Dallas Wings Women?

Basketball: Seattle Storm Women vs Dallas Wings Women (NBA Women). We make it 84-89. Dallas Wings Women is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Dallas Wings Women by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSeattle Storm WomenDallas Wings Women
Wins27%73%
By 6+17%56%
By 11+10%39%
By 16+5%25%
By 21+2%14%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Seattle Storm Women

Season record
9-36
Points per game
82
Points allowed
88.2
Rest
3 d
  1. L77-98Las Vegas Aces Women
  2. L57-70Golden State Valkyries Women
  3. L77-114Las Vegas Aces Women
  4. L74-90Los Angeles Sparks Women
  5. W90-78Toronto Tempo Women

Dallas Wings Women

Season record
27-18
Points per game
89
Points allowed
85.4
Rest
2 d
  1. L86-87Phoenix Mercury Women
  2. W87-82Phoenix Mercury Women
  3. L77-97Los Angeles Sparks Women
  4. W97-71Connecticut Sun Women
  5. W96-78Portland Women

Head to head

  1. Aug 23, 26Dallas Wings Women92Seattle Storm Women70
  2. Jun 23, 26Seattle Storm Women110Dallas Wings Women112
  3. Jun 2, 26Dallas Wings Women79Seattle Storm Women56
  4. Aug 22, 25Dallas Wings Women60Seattle Storm Women95
  5. Jul 23, 25Seattle Storm Women63Dallas Wings Women87

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology