VEF Riga vs Latvijas Universitate basketball prediction

Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
vs
Latvijas Universitate
Correct score
89-81
Home81%
Away19%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for VEF Riga vs Latvijas Universitate?

Basketball: VEF Riga vs Latvijas Universitate (Latvia-Estonian League). We make it 89-81. VEF Riga is favoured at 81%. Our predicted total is 170 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it VEF Riga by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginVEF RigaLatvijas Universitate
Wins81%19%
By 6+67%12%
By 11+51%7%
By 16+37%3%
By 21+24%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

VEF Riga

Rest
6 d
  1. L95-102Dziki Warszawa
  2. W105-88Absheron Lions
  3. L80-93Rigas Zelli
  4. L100-112Rigas Zelli
  5. W94-84Rigas Zelli

Latvijas Universitate

Rest
193 d
  1. W106-101BK Ogre
  2. L94-114Valmiera Glass VIA
  3. L83-102BK Liepāja
  4. L115-119Keila KK
  5. L92-109TalTech

Head to head

  1. Jan 27, 26Latvijas Universitate73VEF Riga89
  2. Nov 18, 25VEF Riga87Latvijas Universitate78
  3. Feb 8, 25Latvijas Universitate59VEF Riga78
  4. Dec 3, 24VEF Riga85Latvijas Universitate67
  5. Jan 31, 24VEF Riga79Latvijas Universitate74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology