Slavia Prague Era Nbk vs Opava basketball prediction

NBL
Slavia Prague Era Nbk
vs
Opava
Correct score
87-84
Home56%
Away44%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Slavia Prague Era Nbk vs Opava?

Basketball: Slavia Prague Era Nbk vs Opava (NBL). We make it 87-84. Slavia Prague Era Nbk is favoured at 56%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Slavia Prague Era Nbk by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSlavia Prague Era NbkOpava
Wins56%44%
By 6+43%31%
By 11+30%20%
By 16+19%12%
By 21+12%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Slavia Prague Era Nbk

Season record
1-0
Points per game
88
Points allowed
80
Rest
3 d
  1. W88-80USK Praha

Opava

Season record
0-1
Points per game
77
Points allowed
89
Rest
4 d
  1. L77-89NH Ostrava
  2. L99-116Dziki Warszawa
  3. W102-101Brno Basket
  4. W96-65Brno Basket
  5. L97-99Brno Basket

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology