Decin vs USK Praha basketball prediction

NBL
Decin
vs
USK Praha
Correct score
88-81
Home70%
Away30%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Decin vs USK Praha?

Basketball: Decin vs USK Praha (NBL). We make it 88-81. Decin is favoured at 70%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Decin by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDecinUSK Praha
Wins70%30%
By 6+56%20%
By 11+42%12%
By 16+29%6%
By 21+18%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Decin

Season record
1-0
Points per game
109
Points allowed
79
Rest
6 d
  1. W109-79Plzen
  2. L78-98Brno Basket
  3. L81-86Brno Basket
  4. L65-75Brno Basket
  5. W84-75Brno Basket

USK Praha

Season record
0-1
Points per game
80
Points allowed
88
Rest
3 d
  1. L80-88Slavia Prague Era Nbk
  2. L92-100Srsni Pisek
  3. L65-78Srsni Pisek
  4. L76-81Slavia Prague
  5. L65-95Olomoucko

Head to head

  1. Nov 15, 25Decin69USK Praha62
  2. Sep 27, 25USK Praha77Decin81
  3. Apr 5, 25USK Praha87Decin75
  4. Mar 8, 25Decin96USK Praha58
  5. Nov 16, 24Decin73USK Praha67

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology