Chicago Sky Women vs Toronto Tempo Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Chicago Sky Women
vs
Toronto Tempo Women
Correct score
93-88
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Chicago Sky Women vs Toronto Tempo Women?

Basketball: Chicago Sky Women vs Toronto Tempo Women (NBA Women). We make it 93-88. Chicago Sky Women is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 181 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Chicago Sky Women by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginChicago Sky WomenToronto Tempo Women
Wins66%34%
By 6+50%22%
By 11+35%12%
By 16+22%6%
By 21+12%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Chicago Sky Women

Season record
15-29
Points per game
87
Points allowed
90.5
Rest
3 d
  1. L81-106Atlanta Dream Women
  2. L80-110Washington Mystics Women
  3. L66-85New York Liberty Women
  4. L81-87Connecticut Sun Women
  5. W113-90Indiana Fever Women

Toronto Tempo Women

Season record
11-31
Points per game
85.6
Points allowed
93.3
Rest
4 d
  1. L85-103Indiana Fever Women
  2. L69-101Phoenix Mercury Women
  3. L73-93Las Vegas Aces Women
  4. L78-90Seattle Storm Women
  5. L78-88Las Vegas Aces Women

Head to head

  1. Jun 7, 26Toronto Tempo Women85Chicago Sky Women68
  2. May 28, 26Chicago Sky Women104Toronto Tempo Women111

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology