Naviera Ulloa vs Espanol de Talca basketball prediction

LNB
Naviera Ulloa
vs
Espanol de Talca
Correct score
86-80
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Naviera Ulloa vs Espanol de Talca?

Basketball: Naviera Ulloa vs Espanol de Talca (LNB). We make it 86-80. Naviera Ulloa is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Naviera Ulloa by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginNaviera UlloaEspanol de Talca
Wins66%34%
By 6+50%21%
By 11+35%12%
By 16+22%6%
By 21+12%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Naviera Ulloa

Season record
6-22
Points per game
75.7
Points allowed
89.6
Rest
6 d
  1. W77-68CD Las Ánimas
  2. L74-79CD Las Ánimas
  3. L72-92Puerto Montt
  4. L71-82Ancud
  5. L56-104CD Las Ánimas

Espanol de Talca

Season record
2-24
Points per game
74.7
Points allowed
89.9
Rest
8 d
  1. L70-81Universidad Catolica
  2. L74-81Colo Colo
  3. L69-96Leones Quilpue
  4. L80-103Universidad de Concepcion
  5. L79-104Puente Alto CD

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology