Usti nad Labem vs Srsni Pisek basketball prediction

NBL
Usti nad Labem
vs
Srsni Pisek
Correct score
88-84
Home65%
Away35%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.42
Away2.67
Total points 172.5
Over1.82
Under1.85
Spread -5.5
Home1.90
Away1.78

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Usti nad Labem vs Srsni Pisek?

Basketball: Usti nad Labem vs Srsni Pisek (NBL). We make it 88-84. Usti nad Labem is favoured at 65%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Usti nad Labem by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUsti nad LabemSrsni Pisek
Wins65%35%
By 6+51%24%
By 11+37%15%
By 16+25%8%
By 21+16%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Usti nad Labem

Rest
134 d
  1. L79-103Opava
  2. W87-72Opava
  3. L89-108Opava
  4. L69-85Opava
  5. W93-86Opava

Srsni Pisek

Rest
138 d
  1. L71-79Pardubice
  2. L63-78Pardubice
  3. L74-78Pardubice
  4. L81-99Pardubice
  5. W100-92USK Praha

Head to head

  1. Mar 25, 26Srsni Pisek84Usti nad Labem91
  2. Feb 1, 26Usti nad Labem88Srsni Pisek74
  3. Jan 21, 26Srsni Pisek85Usti nad Labem96
  4. Jan 7, 26Usti nad Labem117Srsni Pisek69
  5. Dec 7, 25Srsni Pisek82Usti nad Labem94

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology