Ulm vs MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg basketball prediction

BBL
Ulm
vs
MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg
Correct scoreOur pick
85-80

Spread: Home +1.51.70

Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.79
Away2.02
Total points 171
Over1.89
Under1.89
Spread -1.5
Home1.91
Away1.89

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Ulm vs MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg?

Basketball: Ulm vs MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg (BBL). We make it 85-80. Ulm is favoured at 71%. Our predicted total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Ulm by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUlmMHP Riesen Ludwigsburg
Wins71%29%
By 6+55%19%
By 11+40%11%
By 16+26%6%
By 21+15%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Ulm

Rest
120 d
  1. L87-96Bamberg
  2. L87-90Bamberg
  3. L74-80Bamberg
  4. W103-64Fraport Skyliners
  5. L84-98Wurzburg

MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg

Rest
7 d
  1. W98-73Kirchheim Knights
  2. L71-91Rostock Seawolves
  3. L58-75Wurzburg
  4. L78-86Bayern Munich
  5. L97-98Basketball Braunschweig

Head to head

  1. Mar 6, 26Ulm93MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg76
  2. Oct 26, 25MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg90Ulm81
  3. Feb 2, 25MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg92Ulm71
  4. Oct 5, 24Ulm63MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg62
  5. Mar 31, 24MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg60Ulm94

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology