R. Rzeszow vs Kotwica Kołobrzeg basketball prediction

1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
vs
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Correct score
83-82
Home52%
Away48%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for R. Rzeszow vs Kotwica Kołobrzeg?

Basketball: R. Rzeszow vs Kotwica Kołobrzeg (1 Liga). We make it 83-82. R. Rzeszow is favoured at 52%. Our predicted total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it R. Rzeszow by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginR. RzeszowKotwica Kołobrzeg
Wins52%48%
By 6+38%33%
By 11+25%21%
By 16+15%11%
By 21+8%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

R. Rzeszow

Rest
158 d
  1. W101-78Pelplin
  2. W77-75Poznan
  3. L76-84Zubry Bialystok
  4. W88-75Bydgoszcz
  5. W78-73Miners Katowice

Kotwica Kołobrzeg

Rest
147 d
  1. L68-99Bydgoszcz
  2. L84-94Bydgoszcz
  3. L79-106Bydgoszcz
  4. W91-88Bydgoszcz
  5. W74-72Polonia Warszawa

Head to head

  1. Mar 6, 26Kotwica Kołobrzeg103R. Rzeszow80
  2. Nov 16, 25R. Rzeszow85Kotwica Kołobrzeg75
  3. Mar 11, 25Kotwica Kołobrzeg100R. Rzeszow57
  4. Nov 24, 24R. Rzeszow59Kotwica Kołobrzeg69

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology