Oldenburg vs SYNTAINICS MBC basketball prediction

BBL
Oldenburg
vs
SYNTAINICS MBC
Correct score
87-83
Home64%
Away36%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Oldenburg vs SYNTAINICS MBC?

Basketball: Oldenburg vs SYNTAINICS MBC (BBL). We make it 87-83. Oldenburg is favoured at 64%. Our predicted total is 170 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Oldenburg by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOldenburgSYNTAINICS MBC
Wins64%36%
By 6+49%24%
By 11+34%15%
By 16+21%8%
By 21+12%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Oldenburg

Rest
6 d
  1. W82-63USC Heidelberg
  2. L67-77Bayern Munich
  3. W93-84Basketball Braunschweig
  4. W98-95Trier
  5. W94-74USC Heidelberg

SYNTAINICS MBC

Rest
7 d
  1. W113-83BG Göttingen
  2. L78-85Trier
  3. L82-99Bamberg
  4. L75-80USC Heidelberg
  5. W83-52Wurzburg

Head to head

  1. Jan 30, 26SYNTAINICS MBC84Oldenburg90
  2. Jan 10, 26Oldenburg91SYNTAINICS MBC84
  3. May 15, 25SYNTAINICS MBC110Oldenburg95
  4. Mar 29, 25Oldenburg95SYNTAINICS MBC97
  5. Nov 3, 24SYNTAINICS MBC92Oldenburg77

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology