Konya BBSK vs Harem Spor basketball prediction

TBL
Konya BBSK
vs
Harem Spor
Correct score
83-77
Home77%
Away23%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Konya BBSK vs Harem Spor?

Basketball: Konya BBSK vs Harem Spor (TBL). We make it 83-77. Konya BBSK is favoured at 77%. Our predicted total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Konya BBSK by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKonya BBSKHarem Spor
Wins77%23%
By 6+61%14%
By 11+44%8%
By 16+29%4%
By 21+17%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Konya BBSK

Season record
1-0
Points per game
75
Points allowed
59
Rest
8 d
  1. W75-59CO Basket
  2. L96-98Gaziantep
  3. W82-78Gaziantep
  4. L71-80Gaziantep
  5. W91-63Fenerbahce 2

Harem Spor

Season record
1-0
Points per game
113
Points allowed
62
Rest
7 d
  1. W113-62Ankara D.S.I.
  2. W78-70Fenerbahce 2
  3. L77-84Bordo Sportif
  4. L75-89CO Basket
  5. L80-87Ankara D.S.I.

Head to head

  1. Mar 8, 26Konya BBSK94Harem Spor68
  2. Nov 16, 25Harem Spor74Konya BBSK86
  3. Apr 22, 25Harem Spor84Konya BBSK95
  4. Feb 2, 25Harem Spor96Konya BBSK83
  5. Oct 13, 24Konya BBSK73Harem Spor67

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology