Indiana Fever Women vs Washington Mystics Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Indiana Fever Women
vs
Washington Mystics Women
Correct score
92-86
Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Indiana Fever Women vs Washington Mystics Women?

Basketball: Indiana Fever Women vs Washington Mystics Women (NBA Women). We make it 92-86. Indiana Fever Women is favoured at 71%. Our predicted total is 178 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Indiana Fever Women by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginIndiana Fever WomenWashington Mystics Women
Wins71%29%
By 6+55%18%
By 11+39%10%
By 16+25%5%
By 21+14%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Indiana Fever Women

Season record
27-16
Points per game
96.5
Points allowed
91.4
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. W103-85Toronto Tempo Women
  2. W111-91Connecticut Sun Women
  3. L90-113Chicago Sky Women
  4. L102-109New York Liberty Women
  5. L85-91Dallas Wings Women

Washington Mystics Women

Season record
27-16
Points per game
83.2
Points allowed
82.4
Rest
2 d
  1. W110-80Chicago Sky Women
  2. W88-82Los Angeles Sparks Women
  3. W80-73Phoenix Mercury Women
  4. W94-84Phoenix Mercury Women
  5. W105-100Portland Women

Head to head

  1. Jun 8, 26Washington Mystics Women76Indiana Fever Women78
  2. May 15, 26Indiana Fever Women102Washington Mystics Women104
  3. Sep 7, 25Washington Mystics Women65Indiana Fever Women94
  4. Aug 15, 25Indiana Fever Women84Washington Mystics Women88
  5. Jun 3, 25Indiana Fever Women85Washington Mystics Women76

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology