Darussafaka vs Balıkesir BŞB basketball prediction

TBL
Darussafaka
vs
Balıkesir BŞB
Correct scoreOur pick
81-77

Spread: Home +1.51.90

Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.96
Away1.65
Total points 158.5
Over1.78
Under1.80
Spread +1.5
Home1.84
Away1.74

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Darussafaka vs Balıkesir BŞB?

Basketball: Darussafaka vs Balıkesir BŞB (TBL). We make it 81-77. Darussafaka is favoured at 71%. Our predicted total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Darussafaka by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDarussafakaBalıkesir BŞB
Wins71%29%
By 6+54%18%
By 11+38%10%
By 16+24%5%
By 21+14%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Darussafaka

Season record
0-1
Points per game
69
Points allowed
88
Rest
8 d
  1. L69-88Ankara Kolejliler
  2. L80-84CO Basket
  3. W110-105Ankara Kolejliler
  4. L65-83Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
  5. L68-101Gaziantep

Balıkesir BŞB

Season record
0-1
Points per game
69
Points allowed
70
Rest
7 d
  1. L69-70Fenerbahce 2
  2. L83-100OGM Ormanspor
  3. L90-91Fenerbahce 2
  4. W76-68Bordo Sportif
  5. W98-94CO Basket

Head to head

  1. Jan 31, 26Balıkesir BŞB86Darussafaka76
  2. Oct 12, 25Darussafaka84Balıkesir BŞB71

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology