BK Svitavy vs Brno U23 Women basketball prediction

1. Liga
BK Svitavy
vs
Brno U23 Women
Correct score
87-80
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for BK Svitavy vs Brno U23 Women?

Basketball: BK Svitavy vs Brno U23 Women (1. Liga). We make it 87-80. BK Svitavy is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it BK Svitavy by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBK SvitavyBrno U23 Women
Wins66%34%
By 6+55%24%
By 11+43%15%
By 16+31%9%
By 21+22%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

BK Svitavy

Rest
151 d
  1. L71-86Zlin
  2. W82-67Zlin
  3. L67-90Zlin
  4. W99-74Novy Jicin
  5. W88-84Novy Jicin

Brno U23 Women

Rest
183 d
  1. L79-88Radotin
  2. W100-91Polabi
  3. W87-80Radotin
  4. L78-87Lynx Liberec
  5. L80-92Polabi

Head to head

  1. Nov 23, 25BK Svitavy70Brno U23 Women79
  2. Sep 21, 25Brno U23 Women70BK Svitavy92
  3. Jan 12, 25BK Svitavy93Brno U23 Women76
  4. Oct 25, 24Brno U23 Women79BK Svitavy102
  5. Dec 1, 23Brno U23 Women79BK Svitavy86

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology