Bayern Munich vs Bamberg basketball prediction

BBL
Bayern Munich
vs
Bamberg
Correct score
86-80
Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Bayern Munich vs Bamberg?

Basketball: Bayern Munich vs Bamberg (BBL). We make it 86-80. Bayern Munich is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Bayern Munich by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBayern MunichBamberg
Wins73%27%
By 6+58%17%
By 11+42%10%
By 16+28%5%
By 21+17%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Bayern Munich

Rest
91 d
  1. L81-84ALBA Berlin
  2. L61-71ALBA Berlin
  3. W91-83ALBA Berlin
  4. L79-86ALBA Berlin
  5. W102-94ALBA Berlin

Bamberg

Rest
102 d
  1. L66-97ALBA Berlin
  2. W81-67ALBA Berlin
  3. W81-73ALBA Berlin
  4. L71-85ALBA Berlin
  5. L86-105ALBA Berlin

Head to head

  1. Mar 15, 26Bamberg97Bayern Munich93
  2. Feb 21, 26Bayern Munich97Bamberg103
  3. Oct 12, 25Bayern Munich96Bamberg81
  4. Mar 11, 25Bamberg69Bayern Munich68
  5. Jan 26, 25Bayern Munich84Bamberg82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology