Skuru Women vs Ostersund 2 Women basketball prediction

Basketettan Women
Skuru Women
vs
Ostersund 2 Women
Correct score
66-62
Home60%
Away40%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Skuru Women vs Ostersund 2 Women?

Basketball: Skuru Women vs Ostersund 2 Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 66-62. Skuru Women is favoured at 60%. Our predicted total is 128 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Skuru Women by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSkuru WomenOstersund 2 Women
Wins60%40%
By 6+49%30%
By 11+38%21%
By 16+28%14%
By 21+20%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Skuru Women

Rest
160 d
  1. L31-56KFUM Central Women
  2. W82-64Viby Women
  3. L57-68Lidingo Women
  4. L47-85Fryshuset Basket Women
  5. L49-58Ostersund 2 Women

Ostersund 2 Women

Rest
161 d
  1. W81-65Tureberg Women
  2. L40-93Hammarby Women
  3. L55-65Umea Women
  4. W58-49Skuru Women
  5. W63-60Lulea 2 Women

Head to head

  1. Mar 1, 26Ostersund 2 Women58Skuru Women49
  2. Oct 11, 25Skuru Women53Ostersund 2 Women41

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology