RIG Lulea Women vs Fryshuset Basket Women basketball prediction

Basketettan WomenFull time
RIG Lulea Women
73:64
Fryshuset Basket Women
Correct score
68-66
Home56%
Away44%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for RIG Lulea Women vs Fryshuset Basket Women?

Basketball: RIG Lulea Women vs Fryshuset Basket Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 68-66. RIG Lulea Women is favoured at 56%. Our predicted total is 134 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it RIG Lulea Women by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginRIG Lulea WomenFryshuset Basket Women
Wins56%44%
By 6+45%33%
By 11+35%24%
By 16+26%17%
By 21+18%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

RIG Lulea Women

Rest
181 d
  1. L53-75Uppsala Women
  2. L51-109Ostersund Women
  3. L55-105AIK Basket Women
  4. L60-66Brahe Women
  5. L44-61Malbas Malmo Women

Fryshuset Basket Women

Rest
177 d
  1. L63-64KFUM Central Women
  2. W97-67Blackeberg Women
  3. W85-47Skuru Women
  4. W71-58Viby Women
  5. W80-33Umea Women

Head to head

  1. Apr 12, 25RIG Lulea Women95Fryshuset Basket Women73
  2. Dec 14, 24Fryshuset Basket Women64RIG Lulea Women61
  3. Apr 21, 24Fryshuset Basket Women64RIG Lulea Women69
  4. Feb 26, 24RIG Lulea Women64Fryshuset Basket Women54

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeRIG Lulea Women 73, Fryshuset Basket Women 64winner call correct

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology