Poznan vs Politechnika Opolska basketball prediction

1 LigaFull time
Poznan
96:75
Politechnika Opolska
Correct scoreOur pick
84-82

Total Points: Over 159.51.61Won

Home57%
Away43%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.37price falling, opened at 1.44
Away2.60price rising, opened at 2.41
Total points 162.5
Over1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Under1.79

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Poznan vs Politechnika Opolska?

Basketball: Poznan vs Politechnika Opolska (1 Liga). We make it 84-82. Poznan is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Poznan by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPoznanPolitechnika Opolska
Wins57%43%
By 6+42%29%
By 11+28%18%
By 16+17%10%
By 21+9%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Poznan

Rest
157 d
  1. L74-79Miners Katowice
  2. L75-77R. Rzeszow
  3. L79-97Pelplin
  4. L84-90Zubry Bialystok
  5. L84-93Starogard Gdanski

Politechnika Opolska

Rest
157 d
  1. L96-104Lancut
  2. L76-96GKS Tychy
  3. L82-98Starogard Gdanski
  4. W79-77Miners Katowice
  5. W89-75Leszno

Head to head

  1. Mar 15, 26Poznan83Politechnika Opolska84
  2. Nov 21, 25Politechnika Opolska94Poznan81
  3. Mar 23, 25Politechnika Opolska95Poznan72
  4. Dec 14, 24Poznan79Politechnika Opolska76
  5. Feb 25, 24Politechnika Opolska89Poznan88

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimePoznan 96, Politechnika Opolska 75winner call correct

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology