Opava vs NH Ostrava basketball prediction

NBLFull time
Opava
77:89
NH Ostrava
Correct scoreOur pick
92-82

Spread: Away +16.51.60Won

Home80%
Away20%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.06
Away5.74
Total points 174.5 line moved from 173.5
Over1.74
Under1.75
Spread -14.5
Home1.84
Away1.75

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Opava vs NH Ostrava?

Basketball: Opava vs NH Ostrava (NBL). We make it 92-82. Opava is favoured at 80%. Our predicted total is 174 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Opava by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOpavaNH Ostrava
Wins80%20%
By 6+67%12%
By 11+53%7%
By 16+38%4%
By 21+26%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Opava

Rest
5 d
  1. L99-116Dziki Warszawa
  2. W102-101Brno Basket
  3. W96-65Brno Basket
  4. L97-99Brno Basket
  5. L86-98Nymburk

NH Ostrava

Rest
137 d
  1. L70-116Nymburk
  2. L71-93Nymburk
  3. L67-101Nymburk
  4. L69-113Nymburk
  5. W102-71Olomoucko

Head to head

  1. Apr 18, 26Opava100NH Ostrava68
  2. Mar 4, 26NH Ostrava117Opava121
  3. Dec 13, 25NH Ostrava106Opava102
  4. Oct 11, 25Opava101NH Ostrava86
  5. Dec 14, 24NH Ostrava93Opava94

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeOpava 77, NH Ostrava 89winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology