Olimpia Kings Asuncion vs Dep. San Jose basketball prediction

LNBFull time
Olimpia Kings Asuncion
65:67
Dep. San Jose
Correct score
83-81
Home59%
Away41%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.72
Away1.98
Total points 167
Over1.83
Under1.82
Spread -1.5
Home1.84
Away1.84

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Olimpia Kings Asuncion vs Dep. San Jose?

Basketball: Olimpia Kings Asuncion vs Dep. San Jose (LNB). We make it 83-81. Olimpia Kings Asuncion is favoured at 59%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Olimpia Kings Asuncion by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOlimpia Kings AsuncionDep. San Jose
Wins59%41%
By 6+48%33%
By 11+38%25%
By 16+29%18%
By 21+21%13%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Olimpia Kings Asuncion

Season record
22-9
Points per game
85.1
Points allowed
73.2
Rest
4 d
  1. W125-75San Alfonzo
  2. W96-51Felix Perez Cardozo
  3. W70-67Colonias Gold
  4. W79-76Deportivo Amambay
  5. W91-59Deportivo Campoalto

Dep. San Jose

Season record
27-5
Points per game
87.8
Points allowed
79.1
Rest
4 d
  1. W90-73Felix Perez Cardozo
  2. W98-87Colonias Gold
  3. W113-75Deportivo Campoalto
  4. W93-76Capiata Bulls
  5. W96-53San Alfonzo

Head to head

  1. Aug 22, 26Dep. San Jose95Olimpia Kings Asuncion91
  2. Jul 9, 26Dep. San Jose85Olimpia Kings Asuncion79
  3. Jul 6, 26Olimpia Kings Asuncion73Dep. San Jose81
  4. Jul 2, 26Dep. San Jose74Olimpia Kings Asuncion68
  5. May 18, 26Olimpia Kings Asuncion74Dep. San Jose79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeOlimpia Kings Asuncion 65, Dep. San Jose 67winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology