OGM Ormanspor vs Goztepe basketball prediction

TBLFull time
OGM Ormanspor
73:85
Goztepe
Correct scoreOur pick
83-77

Moneyline: Home1.64Lost

Home77%
Away23%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.57
Away2.35
Total points 157.5
Over1.83
Under1.91
Spread -4.5
Home1.95
Away1.80

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for OGM Ormanspor vs Goztepe?

Basketball: OGM Ormanspor vs Goztepe (TBL). We make it 83-77. OGM Ormanspor is favoured at 77%. Our predicted total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it OGM Ormanspor by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOGM OrmansporGoztepe
Wins77%23%
By 6+60%14%
By 11+43%8%
By 16+28%4%
By 21+17%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

OGM Ormanspor

Season record
0-2
Points per game
74
Points allowed
84
Rest
0 dback-to-back
  1. L73-85Goztepe
  2. L75-83Büyükçekmece Basketbol
  3. L119-121Goztepe
  4. L90-92Goztepe
  5. W100-83Balıkesir BŞB

Goztepe

Season record
2-0
Points per game
79
Points allowed
72.5
Rest
0 dback-to-back
  1. W85-73OGM Ormanspor
  2. W73-72Kahramanmaras
  3. L65-82Bordo Sportif
  4. W73-71Bordo Sportif
  5. L76-84Bordo Sportif

Head to head

  1. Sep 19, 26OGM Ormanspor73Goztepe85
  2. May 2, 26Goztepe121OGM Ormanspor119
  3. Apr 29, 26OGM Ormanspor90Goztepe92
  4. Jan 24, 26OGM Ormanspor91Goztepe90
  5. Oct 4, 25Goztepe77OGM Ormanspor74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeOGM Ormanspor 73, Goztepe 85winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology