GKS Tychy vs Spojnia Stargard basketball prediction

1 LigaFull time
GKS Tychy
81:83
Spojnia Stargard
Correct scoreOur pick
83-81

Total Points: Over 155.51.74Won

Home56%
Away44%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.65price falling, opened at 1.67
Away1.96price rising, opened at 1.93
Total points 160.5 line moved from 158.5
Over1.79
Under1.79
Spread -1.5
Home1.74price falling, opened at 1.76
Away1.84price rising, opened at 1.82

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for GKS Tychy vs Spojnia Stargard?

Basketball: GKS Tychy vs Spojnia Stargard (1 Liga). We make it 83-81. GKS Tychy is favoured at 56%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it GKS Tychy by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGKS TychySpojnia Stargard
Wins56%44%
By 6+41%30%
By 11+28%18%
By 16+17%10%
By 21+9%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

GKS Tychy

Rest
146 d
  1. L74-89ŁKS Łódź
  2. L66-80ŁKS Łódź
  3. L79-83ŁKS Łódź
  4. W79-68ŁKS Łódź
  5. L72-84Bydgoszcz

Spojnia Stargard

Rest
119 d
  1. L78-79Starogard Gdanski
  2. W102-94Starogard Gdanski
  3. L85-101ŁKS Łódź
  4. L71-107ŁKS Łódź
  5. L66-95ŁKS Łódź

Head to head

  1. Mar 21, 26Spojnia Stargard87GKS Tychy81
  2. Nov 29, 25GKS Tychy65Spojnia Stargard79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeGKS Tychy 81, Spojnia Stargard 83winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology