Dziki Warszawa vs Breogan basketball prediction

Champions LeagueFull time
Dziki Warszawa
113:110
Breogan
Correct scoreOur pick
92-93

Spread: Home +14.51.89Won

Home39%
Away61%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home5.90
Away1.13
Total points 183
Over1.85
Under1.86
Spread +12.5
Home1.90
Away1.91

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Dziki Warszawa vs Breogan?

Basketball: Dziki Warszawa vs Breogan (Champions League). We make it 92-93. Breogan is favoured at 61%. Our predicted total is 185 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Breogan by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDziki WarszawaBreogan
Wins39%61%
By 6+26%44%
By 11+16%29%
By 16+9%18%
By 21+4%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Dziki Warszawa

Season record
2-0
Points per game
109
Points allowed
97
Rest
2 d
  1. W102-95VEF Riga
  2. W116-99Opava
  3. W92-78Arka Gdynia
  4. L84-89Arka Gdynia
  5. L78-91Legia

Breogan

Season record
2-0
Points per game
115.5
Points allowed
82
Rest
2 d
  1. W105-84Manchester Giants
  2. W126-80Rilski Sportist Samokov
  3. L94-95Basket Zaragoza
  4. L83-101Unicaja Malaga
  5. W95-76Basquet Girona

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeDziki Warszawa 113, Breogan 110winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology