Bulacan Kuyas vs San Juan Knights basketball prediction

MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
vs
San Juan Knights
Correct score
82-92
Home13%
Away87%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Bulacan Kuyas vs San Juan Knights?

Basketball: Bulacan Kuyas vs San Juan Knights (MPBL). We make it 82-92. San Juan Knights is favoured at 87%. Our predicted total is 174 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it San Juan Knights by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBulacan KuyasSan Juan Knights
Wins13%87%
By 6+9%73%
By 11+5%58%
By 16+3%44%
By 21+2%31%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Bulacan Kuyas

Season record
9-17
Points per game
83.3
Points allowed
86.1
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. W84-77Marikina Verdiamonds
  2. W120-67San Juan Knights
  3. L80-91Meycauayan
  4. L84-110Abra Weavers
  5. W110-105Pasig City

San Juan Knights

Season record
22-6
Points per game
94.5
Points allowed
80.3
Rest
4 d
  1. L67-120Bulacan Kuyas
  2. W80-76Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
  3. W145-72Paranaque Patriots
  4. W74-62Mindoro Tamaraws
  5. W78-71Batangas City

Head to head

  1. Sep 15, 26Bulacan Kuyas120San Juan Knights67
  2. Jul 4, 25Bulacan Kuyas75San Juan Knights97

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology