Basketball Braunschweig vs Trier basketball prediction

BBLFull time
Basketball Braunschweig
116:107
Trier
Correct score
90-86
Home64%
Away36%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Basketball Braunschweig vs Trier?

Basketball: Basketball Braunschweig vs Trier (BBL). We make it 90-86. Basketball Braunschweig is favoured at 64%. Our predicted total is 176 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Basketball Braunschweig by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBasketball BraunschweigTrier
Wins64%36%
By 6+48%24%
By 11+33%15%
By 16+21%8%
By 21+12%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Basketball Braunschweig

Rest
8 d
  1. W87-67Bremerhaven
  2. W104-90Chemnitz 99 Niners
  3. L84-93Oldenburg
  4. W98-97MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg
  5. L98-120Vechta

Trier

Rest
119 d
  1. L62-99Bayern Munich
  2. L65-92Bayern Munich
  3. L80-101Bayern Munich
  4. W76-69Rostock Seawolves
  5. L83-111Vechta

Head to head

  1. Mar 15, 26Basketball Braunschweig97Trier106
  2. Oct 12, 25Trier78Basketball Braunschweig73

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeBasketball Braunschweig 116, Trier 107winner call correct

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology