Atlanta Dream Women vs Chicago Sky Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Atlanta Dream Women
vs
Chicago Sky Women
Correct scoreOur pick
93-85

Spread: Away +14.51.59

Home79%
Away21%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.08
Away7.60
Total points 176.5
Over1.87
Under1.93
Spread -11.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Atlanta Dream Women vs Chicago Sky Women?

Basketball: Atlanta Dream Women vs Chicago Sky Women (NBA Women). We make it 93-85. Atlanta Dream Women is favoured at 79%. Our predicted total is 178 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Atlanta Dream Women by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAtlanta Dream WomenChicago Sky Women
Wins79%21%
By 6+64%12%
By 11+48%6%
By 16+32%3%
By 21+19%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Atlanta Dream Women

Season record
28-15
Points per game
90.6
Points allowed
84.8
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. W103-59Connecticut Sun Women
  2. W89-81Minnesota Lynx Women
  3. L83-101Portland Women
  4. W78-71Los Angeles Sparks Women
  5. W99-89Phoenix Mercury Women

Chicago Sky Women

Season record
15-28
Points per game
87.1
Points allowed
90.1
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. L80-110Washington Mystics Women
  2. L66-85New York Liberty Women
  3. L81-87Connecticut Sun Women
  4. W113-90Indiana Fever Women
  5. W73-70Golden State Valkyries Women

Head to head

  1. Jul 19, 26Atlanta Dream Women93Chicago Sky Women91
  2. Jun 9, 26Chicago Sky Women75Atlanta Dream Women82
  3. Apr 29, 26Chicago Sky Women78Atlanta Dream Women87
  4. Aug 8, 25Chicago Sky Women65Atlanta Dream Women86
  5. Jul 16, 25Chicago Sky Women49Atlanta Dream Women86

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology